Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.017940 0.019790 0.021653 0.023665 0.025772 0.027910 0.030238
2025-06-15 0.014299 0.017204 0.020256 0.023677 0.027384 0.031257 0.035592
2025-06-22 0.011679 0.015148 0.018925 0.023285 0.028128 0.033297 0.039189
2025-06-29 0.009543 0.013325 0.017583 0.022628 0.028354 0.034573 0.041768
2025-07-06 0.007647 0.011557 0.016115 0.021658 0.028077 0.035162 0.043466
2025-07-13 0.006760 0.010892 0.015842 0.021979 0.029192 0.037242 0.046763
2025-07-20 0.005773 0.009998 0.015213 0.021812 0.029684 0.038568 0.049169
2025-07-27 0.004928 0.009200 0.014635 0.021647 0.030130 0.039802 0.051434
2025-08-03 0.004541 0.008976 0.014744 0.022291 0.031510 0.042094 0.054891
2025-08-10 0.003850 0.008258 0.014172 0.022054 0.031805 0.043102 0.056853
2025-08-17 0.003226 0.007568 0.013586 0.021762 0.032003 0.043970 0.058631
2025-08-24 0.002722 0.006999 0.013124 0.021595 0.032327 0.044966 0.060541
2025-08-31 0.002153 0.006292 0.012480 0.021232 0.032478 0.045848 0.062436
2025-09-07 0.001748 0.005808 0.012130 0.021254 0.033125 0.047350 0.065102
2025-09-14 0.001310 0.005175 0.011513 0.020885 0.033252 0.048208 0.066993
2025-09-21 0.000901 0.004483 0.010746 0.020265 0.033025 0.048610 0.068321
2025-09-28 0.000533 0.003729 0.009805 0.019351 0.032378 0.048467 0.068970
2025-10-05 0.000410 0.003530 0.009737 0.019653 0.033306 0.050255 0.071934
2025-10-12 0.000259 0.003169 0.009365 0.019496 0.033612 0.051263 0.073947
2025-10-19 0.000148 0.002838 0.009009 0.019341 0.033906 0.052244 0.075919
2025-10-26 0.000114 0.002797 0.009169 0.019947 0.035219 0.054502 0.079444
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.002480 0.008788 0.019724 0.035401 0.055328 0.081217
2025-11-09 0.000009 0.002172 0.008387 0.019449 0.035499 0.056037 0.082838